Registry entries
The registry's list. Entries R-2026-001 and R-2026-002 are Cleanstone's own Tree A predictions, entered retroactively on 2026-10-30. They do not meet the protocol: there was one camp, the executor held the claim, and the freeze was a plan file in a working session, not a dated public post. They are listed so the record starts with what was actually run, labelled for what it is. R-2026-003 is the first entry meant to meet the protocol in full.
| id | claim | status |
|---|---|---|
| R-2026-001 | Sorting-algorithm competencies in Zhang, Goldstein, Levin (2024) survive controls | executed, retroactive |
| R-2026-002 | Algotype clustering is a move-rate effect | executed, retroactive |
| R-2026-003 | Introspection reaches the content of an injected concept | proposed (first-pairing.md) |
R-2026-001, retroactive
Entry id: R-2026-001
Status: executed (retroactive; protocol not met, see above)
Claim: Delayed gratification and algotype clustering in
Zhang, Goldstein, Levin (2024, arXiv 2401.05375)
survive scheduler control and metric substitution.
Models: classical and cell-view bubble, insertion, selection;
stdlib Python 3.11.2
Nulls: zero frozen cells; label-only chimera; two schedulers
Primary metric: delayed gratification, authors' formula and ours
Alternative metric: total inversions (Kendall)
Sample size: n = 64 and 100; 100 seeds per condition
Camp A: Zhang, Goldstein, Levin; not invited before the run;
write-up sent 2026-10-30
Camp B: Cleanstone
Predictions: P1 DG > 0 at zero barriers; P2 Kendall DG = 0 for
bubble and insertion; P3 DG rises with frozen cells,
small effect; P4 clustering tracks the efficiency gap;
P5 invariant to scheduler
Executor: Cleanstone (holds Camp B; protocol not met)
Freeze: ../../trees/01-a-ledger/plan.md, Experiment 0.1, written
before code on 2026-09-30; commit bd5b24d43599 holds plan,
code and results together, so order is attested by the
session transcript only (writeup.md section 2)
Result: P1 held. P2 held at every setting. P3 held under the
authors' formula and reversed under ours. P4 held through
R-2026-002. P5 failed: bubble 0.218 vs 0.388 across
schedulers. ../../trees/01-a-ledger/writeup.md 3.3
Executed: 2026-09-30
Camp A reply: awaited; follow-up due 2026-11-13
R-2026-002, retroactive
Entry id: R-2026-002
Status: executed (retroactive; protocol not met)
Claim: Algotype clustering in chimeric arrays is produced by
differences in moves per round.
Models: bubble rule only; half the cells labelled B and move
with probability p per turn
Nulls: p = 1 (labels dynamically identical)
Primary metric: mean same-label-neighbour fraction, bootstrap CI
Sample size: n = 100, 100 seeds per p
Camp B: Cleanstone
Predictions: P4a at p = 1 equals the label-only control (0.244);
P4b mean rises as p falls; P4c some p reaches the
bubble+insertion chimera (0.319)
Freeze: ../../trees/01-a-ledger/plan.md, Experiment 0.1b,
before code, 2026-09-30
Result: P4a held (0.244). P4b held. P4c not reached in the
pre-registered set (0.294 at p = 0.1); post hoc p = 0.02
and 0.01 reach 0.316 and 0.320. writeup.md 3.6
Executed: 2026-09-30